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BIS Bulletin, No 25, June Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science, Swiss Institute for International Economics and Applied Economics Research, vol. Louis Review , , II 91 5 Part 2 , , with Andreas Fischer.
Search theory and applied economic research, Quarterly Bulletin of Swiss National Bank , , with Aleksander Berentsen.
Previous version published as PBC working paper No. Oil prices and monetary policy — a new paradigm , Quarterly Bulletin of Swiss National Bank, , with Philipp Hildebrand. Sequential Information Flow and Real-Time Diagnosis of Swiss Inflation: Intra-Monthly DCF Estimates for a Low-Inflation Environment , , CEPR-Discussion Paper , with Andreas Fischer.
Befindet sich die Industriekonjunktur bereits in einer Überhitzungsphase? Credit rating and interest rates, credit losses and defaults , in: Einblick in das Innenleben des Kreditgeschäfts, Economic Briefing Nr. Vom Rating zum Kreditsatz , in: KMU das Magazin für Unternehmer, Geschäftsführer, höheres Kader, Juni , pp.
Deriving Unbiased Thresholds To Signal Turning Points In Leading Indicators , manuscript presented at the International Symposium on Forecasting, Pine Mountain USA, June Forthcoming, Princeton University Press, Nov Morgan, and Sayuri Shirai.